Bill Easum has a rather intriguing article called "Mega, Giga, and Terra Churches: And Their Implications" on his website today. Among other things he predicts:
- Like the Walmart that gets torn down to be replaced by a Super Walmart, many of the mega churches will be downsized in the next 25 years and replaced by Giga and Terra Churches (worshiping 50,000 - 100,000).
- Church plants need to reserve as much space with as much parking and as many entrances/exits as possible
- Most of the smaller churches, in the words of my friend Monty, will "make like Mohandas and be Gandhi" (There is no generation interested in taking their handoffs)
- The number of clergy in established denominations will exceed the number of churches (End of a clergy shortage...yipee. Only because all of the little churches are gone)
- The Emergent Church won't emerge all that much (i.e. won't be very big) but it will occupy a significant niche
- Churches over 10,000 in worship will become more numerous and influential than all of the denominations rolled into one
-The huge "Terra" churches will emerge so powerful that all churches in the US will eventually start being taxed
- Denominational officials in the surviving established churches will undergo a spiritual revival (out of necessity) and Jesus will once again become the driving force of their ministries... allowing them to come out of cultural irrelevance and start to thrive again... on the edge.
Bill also suggests that pastors in their 20-40s in established denominations have some serious choices to make. "The odds are your denomination will cease to exist as you know it today while you're a pastor..."
Bill ends by saying we're all in for a volatile ride.
Now, lest you read the whole article and start to get disillusioned, just remember the Melheimian Maxim for the waning days of 2007:
"It's good to be disillusioned. One should "dis" one's "illusions" on a regular basis."
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